IA REX. What can be predicted in the development of events, focusing on Strelkov’s psychology. Enterprise Forecasting

09.10.2019

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What can we predict?

To simplify somewhat, all events in the world are divided into two types - those that conform to a certain stable historical model and those that do not conform to it. Reliable predictions can only be made about the first type. As discussed in the previous chapter, even then, predicting a specific outcome is impossible, and neither is predicting the outcome of a dice roll. On the other hand, as long as we can collect a sufficient amount of data about the past, we are able to quite adequately predict, if not the result itself, but at least its probability. Fortunately, in many cases this is quite enough.

Every year, for example, we all run the risk of catching the flu. The best we can predict is that in any given season we have some chance of getting sick. Because there are so many people and the incidence rate remains relatively constant from year to year, pharmaceutical companies have a good idea of how many flu vaccines they need to deliver to a given corner. globe in one month or another. Similarly, the probability of non-repayment of loans by people even with the same financial situation varies significantly. It all depends on what is happening in their lives. However, banks can predict aggregate default rates surprisingly accurately - by examining a range of socio-economic, demographic and behavioral variables. Increasingly, Internet companies are turning to massive amounts of web browsing data to calculate the likelihood that a given user will click on a given search result, respond favorably to a particular news story, or listen to a particular recommendation. As political scientist Ian Ayres writes in his book "Super Crunchers" These types of predictions are becoming increasingly popular in data-intensive fields such as finance, healthcare, and e-commerce. The modest profits associated with forecasts based on these data can often be added up millions or even billions of times (in some cases every day), resulting in significant profits (173).

However, there are many areas in business, government and planning that rely on assumptions that do not fit into this model. For example, when a publisher decides how much to offer a potential author as an advance, he is effectively making a prediction about the future sales of the proposed book. On the one hand, the more copies are sold, the higher the royalty will be and the larger the advance must be - so that the author does not sign a contract elsewhere. On the other hand, if the publisher overestimates the success of the future book and overpays the author, this will certainly be good for the latter, but bad for the former. When a film studio decides to greenlight a film, it essentially calculates future box office receipts and, based on that, determines how much it can spend on bringing the project to life and then marketing it. The situation is similar with pharmaceutical companies. When they decide to initiate clinical trials of a new drug, they base huge costs on some prediction about the likelihood of success of the trial and the resulting demand for the drug under study.

It turns out that all the mentioned areas of activity depend on forecasts - significantly more complex than predicting the level of influenza incidence in North America this winter or the likelihood that a given user will click on a given online ad. Typically, when a publisher offers an advance for a book, it is one to two years away from publication. Therefore, the calculation must concern not only the quality and type of the book itself, but also the state of the market at the time of its publication, reviews and a variety of other relevant factors. Likewise, forecasts about movies, new drugs, and other types of business projects and scientific and technological developments are, in essence, forecasts about complex, multifaceted processes lasting over several months or years. But that's not so bad. Because the responsible persons make decisions only a few times a year; they are not even able to compensate for this uncertainty big amount forecasts.

However, even in these cases, decision makers can rely on historical data. Publishers - track how well books of a certain type sold. Film studios - study box office receipts of similar films, profits from DVD sales and related products. Pharmaceutical companies - assess the demand and cost of similar drugs on the market. Marketers track the success of comparable products, and magazine publishers track the sales of previous publications through newsstands. In addition, responsible persons have at their disposal a wealth of other data - including marketing research, internal assessments of the project under discussion and own knowledge of the industry as a whole. Consequently, if no global changes occur in the period between the decision to launch a project and its final implementation, we can talk about more or less reliable forecasts. But how to make them?

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PHOTO: Igor Strelkov are training in military-historical reconstruction.

“Colonel Strelkov” is not lying. After studying the correspondence of the “Minister of Defense of the DPR”, opened by hackers, it turned out that he really is who he claimed to be - a retired Russian officer acting out of conviction. A hacked email posted on the World Wide Web has tarnished the reputation of the Ukrainian Security Service, which was looking for the trace of the GRU. By posing the question: can a single Orthodox oligarch start a revolution in a neighboring country. The secret turned out to be an open secret, and the intrigue around the mysterious middle-aged man with a “White Guard” appearance was artificial. The name of Colonel Igor Ivanovich Strelkov is not the guise of a GRU officer, but a pseudonym for war games of Igor Vsevolodovich Girkin, 44 years old, a retired FSB officer, historian and reenactor. Orthodox patriot, sovereign and romantic writer. Participant in three or four wars. In order to find out, in fact, there was no need to read his email correspondence opened by Anonymous International - one could simply believe Strelkov. It turned out that he always spoke the truth about himself. The most amazing thing is that he really doesn’t seem to have any idea. government structure. Acting in accordance with their own concepts of how to rebuild not so much Ukraine as Russia. The reserve colonel’s last civilian job hinted at the origins of the “mad money” that was used to purchase weapons for the rebels.”

What can be predicted in the development of events based on Strelkov’s psychology?

Alexander Sobyanin, head of the strategic planning service of the Association for Cross-Border Cooperation, member Expert Council Center for Strategic Conjuncture:

Denazification of Ukraine is hard work and our long will. I would like, dear comrades and colleagues, to be more careful in the perception of information - according to dates and sources. In conditions of rapid change, even the hours when events occur are important for understanding, analysis, and interpretation. This text about Girkin-Strelkov dates not from May 26, but from May 20, and the source is the registered media outlet Fontanka.Ru (http://www.fontanka.ru/2014/05/20/223/), and not the patriotic social network “Russian Spring”, which I both love and respect. This means that the journalistic investigation began after the referendum on May 11 and before the elections on May 25. Least. In general, in the conditions of an information war, at least in terms of time and effort, you need to be more careful with sources and dates (one extremely respected political resource posted a photo of a wounded boy from Syria in the context of punitive rapid raids by the Nazi Maidan guards). Let us be clearer and more truthful in the Russian information war.

What would I like to add to this good journalistic investigation of Fontanka.Ru? Basically, in terms of the general situation, Girkin-Strelkov - absolutely fair man, direct will, a true Orthodox patriot. A conditional “White Guard” “Drozdovo” in military-patriotic “specialization”, which he never hid. At the same time, our common Motherland is much more important to him, and not commitment to monarchism and the White Guard, therefore Igor Vsevolodovich Strelkov (he will go down in history under this name, even if later the Motherland and the course of history will throw him to other directions of the Russian Spring) also involved and intelligently, decisively and team-played for our people in reconstructions and the Great Patriotic War, and later periods Civil War 1918-1922 on the Reds' side. Igor Strelkov knows how to be an extremely commanding and disciplined participant in a single military-political and military action. Therefore, you can rely on him “by default”, only remembering introversion, which presupposes a much greater openness of external contactees, just to receive at least some of his return response, and even more so to receive his counter movement towards general work or cooperation.

Igor Strelkov is an introvert, so he does not show his charisma (it exists!), which is clearly manifested in the radical difference in the perception of his personality by those who read the Internet and those who had the opportunity to communicate with him in person. The latter are impressed, and very positively impressed. Those. he is not suitable for the sole leader of Novorossiya, but as the Minister of War, the military leader of Novorossiya, he is absolutely in his historical place, chosen decades ago, if you read the opinions about Strelok on military-patriotic websites.

We now see a suboptimal configuration of leaders in the southeast - there is big row leaders who were raised by the oligarch Akhmetov for the sake of his wealth, but who at the same time are real patriots of Donbass and occupy the highest positions in the first two republics that became part of the Federal Republic of Novorossiya. These are not “Akhmetov’s people”, but simply “those who rose at the beginning of the path with the support of Akhmetov” (the difference is huge). We see Moscow PR and media people close to the security forces. We see combat veterans. We see (few! very few, we need more!) Cossacks from Kuban, Krasnodar and Rostov.

But so far we do not see “red” military organizers on our side. Despite all that, the number of “red” leaders is much greater than the “black Maidan” ones, even in Kharkov and Odessa. There are no “White Guards” in the southeast at all, and Strelkov’s bright personality and the great love for him on the part of tens of thousands of people in the southeast of Ukraine can only be explained by the authenticity, the brightness of his personality.

At the same time, especially for those who are attentive and thoughtful, I would like to emphasize one truth for me and my colleagues in the Association for Cross-Border Cooperation and the Center for Strategic Conjuncture. Today, the border between ours and “not ours” is not between “whites” and “reds,” but according to the criterion - “are you for our Motherland” or are you “for Europe, for the European choice of our Russian and Ukrainian peoples” (Nazification of Germany will come next and Europe, regardless of the events in Ukraine http://conjuncture.ru/kavpolit-com-22-05-2014/).

In a philosophical and geo-civilizational sense, through the American and German onslaught in Ukraine, our people and Motherland were so driven into a corner that The question is an order of magnitude higher - will we be leaders for the whole world or will we not exist at all! Our former “enemies, friends, twin brothers in the Cold War,” who crushed our people through our Soviet elite led by Gorbachev in the embrace of the Western “democratic, civilizational discourse,” left no other choice for you and me. Therefore, we all need to prepare for a long journey, for hard military and economic industrial work, for great deeds for all of us - all the peoples of our Great Motherland, who for the sake of the ancestors of Victory (and in our history with a capital V there is only one Victory for all times - 1945 , and one War with a capital W - 1941-1945) will never give up and will always roll up his sleeves and get to work.

Eva Merkuryeva, journalist:

Strelkov is the reincarnation of General Slashchev - pravdatoday. This article did not appear by chance and for a reason. People who know and love history suddenly saw familiar features in Igor Strelkov... General Slashchev, who continues to fight for Great Russia with those who prefer to come to an agreement with the West. Not otherwise, reincarnation. That’s why the story of “General Yasha,” beloved by the people and soldiers, is told. More precisely, one of the many stories that can be told about him.

Yuri Yuryev, political constructor:

It is impossible to predict anything fundamentally. Military personnel of this level are practical forecasters themselves, and it is impossible to predict or “calculate” or “calculate” them. And I don’t want to help “calculate” them.

Battle of Oryol - the decisive battle of the Civil War

The first film in the series Forgotten battles"Director of the Center for Strategic Conjuncture Ivan Konovalov // YouTube Ivan Konovalov. 11/18/2012.

The first film in the series "Forgotten Battles" by the director of the Center for Strategic Conjuncture, Ivan Pavlovich Konovalov, tells the story of the decisive battle of the Civil War in Russia - the Battle of Oryol.

Classification and general characteristics of forecasting methods

General forecasting methods can be divided into four large groups:

Methods expert assessments;

Trend extrapolation methods;

Methods regression analysis;

Methods of economic and mathematical modeling.

Trend extrapolation methods and regression analysis methods are combined into the general concept of “time series analysis methods”.

Regression analysis methods and economic-mathematical method

modeling together constitute the concept of “methods for analyzing causal relationships.”

General characteristics of forecasting methods are presented in the table.

Table - Characteristics of forecasting methods

Group of methods	Essence	Varieties	Scope of application
Expert assessment methods	Involves taking into account subjective expert opinions on the future state of affairs. It is typical for expert assessments predicting the future based on both rational arguments and intuitive knowledge. Expert assessment methods, as a rule, have quality character.	1. Individual expert assessments: Scripts; Interview method; Analytical reports. 2. Collective expert assessments: “Commission” method; Brainstorming method; Delphi method.	Can be used when using various forecasting methods (short-term, medium-term and long-term)
Trend Extrapolation Methods	Based on statistical observation dynamics of a certain indicator, determining the trend (friction) of it development and continuation of this trend for the future period, i.e. Using methods of extrapolation of trends, patterns of the past the development of the object is transferred to the future.	1. Moving average method; 2. Exponential smoothing method.	Usually used in the short term (not more than one year) forecasting when the number of changes in the environment is minimal. The forecast is created for each specific object separately and sequentially for each subsequent point in time. If the forecast is made for a product (product/service), the forecasting task includes demand analysis and sales analysis of this product Forecasting results are used in all areas intra-company planning, including general strategic planning, financial planning, production planning and inventory management, marketing planning and management of trade flows and trade operations.
Regression Analysis Methods	Explores the dependence of a certain quantity on another quantity or several other quantities.		It is used mainly in medium-term forecasting, as well as in long-term forecasting. Medium and long-term periods make it possible to identify changes in the business environment and take into account the impact of these changes on the indicator under study
Methods of economic and mathematical modeling	They involve the construction of mathematical models based on the use of methods of probability theory and mathematical statistics	1. Models internal environment firms (corporate models); 2. Macroeconomic models: Econometric models; Input-output models.	When using corporate models, it is useful to make not only forward-looking, but also retrospective (backward-looking) forecasts. Comparison of historical forecast data and actual data for the past period allows us to draw a conclusion about the reliability of the models. Most mathematical models are in the form of computer programs. Being in execution process, such programs make it possible to study the development of intra-company relationships, that is, they give the models a dynamic character.

A special place among forecasting methods is occupied by technology forecasting, which arose later than the economic one. Its necessity was determined by serious changes in technology that are constantly occurring in the modern economy. Technological forecasting is important primarily for preparing a research and development strategy (strategic plan

R&D). Here, technological forecasts are reflected in decisions about which technologies the firm should focus on and which technologies to abandon. With the help of technological forecasts, a volume of potential technologies is formed, which later, when developing an R&D strategy, will be subject to selection and selection.

Technology forecasts are also used in short-term planning to evaluate the technology used. Using technology forecasts, it is possible to determine the capabilities of the current technology, the ceiling of its use and the need for an urgent change in technology.

Technical forecasting is most important for firms that are technology leaders in an industry and aim for continued growth. Participation in technological forecasting is less important for companies focused on survival. At the same time, the survival of a huge number of modern Russian enterprises is associated, first of all, with the reorientation of production and its adaptation to market demand. Such a reorientation is practically impossible without technological restructuring and a transition to new, progressive methods of producing goods. Therefore, management experts recommend creating technological forecasts even for small enterprises that do not have their own R&D departments. Sources of information for them can be publications in specialized literature, information provided by suppliers and major clients, etc.

In general, the role of technology forecasting is much broader than just in preparing an R&D strategy. The results of technological forecasting influence the formation of new views in general management thinking and influence the preparation of various functional strategies of the company, for example marketing strategies.

The traditional concept of marketing assumes that the company adapts to the already formed needs of the indicator. At the same time, the consumer needs themselves lag behind rapidly changing technologies. Many products do not have time to complete their life cycle and are forced out of the market under the pressure of substitutes - technological innovations. Therefore, firms must be able to anticipate possible changes in technology; be able to create new needs among buyers so that buyers are ready to accept new products.

Technological forecasting contributes to the development of a new marketing concept, which consists in preparing consumers for future changes, familiarizing and training potential buyers of new products. This approach to the company’s influence on its market does not mean pressure on consumers and control over them in order to force them to change their needs; on the contrary, it leads to the preservation of existing needs and the enrichment of them with new ones, that is, to an increase in the needs of buyers.

As the experience of a market economy shows, technological forecasting is most often used in the computer, telecommunications, petrochemical, and transport industries.

Technological forecasting widely uses methods established in general economic forecasting, especially:

Script preparation method;

Delphi method;

Trend extrapolation methods and some others.

At the same time, technological forecasting is characterized by some specific methods, among them:

Morphological analysis;

Cross influence analysis.

Scenarios are very popular among technology forecasting firms. Scenarios are widely known

developed for companies operating in the following industries: genetic engineering; telecommunication systems; automotive industry; equipment and technologies for the pharmaceutical industry; automation household and many others.

Morphological analysis

The basic principle is to enter into a two-factor matrix the key parameters of the product or process, as well as

alternative methods to achieve them.

Thus, morphological analysis helps to identify various combinations of basic technological parameters (methods).

A future forecast may use:

New combinations of existing methods;

Completely new technological methods discovered using

morphological analysis.

A serious approach to morphological analysis can yield a huge number of technology options.

Cross influence analysis

Many technical advances can be applied in various sectors of the economy (for example, lasers or microprocessors). Consequently, these technologies have an impact on whole line economic spheres and at the same time are themselves exposed to other technologies.

Such cross influences can be taken into account in a special table. The table contains the main phenomena in the field of technology that directly relate to the activities of the company. Then an initial forecast of their future state is made (without taking into account cross-influence). Next, the cross-influence of some events on others is revealed. Finally, a final forecast is made that takes into account the possibility of cross-influence. The nature of the impact of one phenomenon in technology on another can be defined as positive, neutral or negative. The intensity of impact is assessed on a 10-point scale.

Thus, the discovery of the possibility of recording sounds using a laser significantly influenced the vinyl disc industry. The nature of the impact can be defined as negative, the intensity of the impact is at least 7 points.

The cross-impact analysis method increases the thoroughness and

accuracy of forecasts, can be used in combination with the Delphi method.

New year - new dreams and new plans. Is it possible to know for sure whether they will come true, and if so, when exactly. Or, after all, planning is an illusion, and fate will dispose of our lives at its discretion. Do you need to know what awaits you, is it possible to change it? Read on the pages of VOLNA magazine the answers to these questions in an interview with astrologer Olga Tereshchenko.

Astrologer Olga Tereshchenko

- Knowledge of the future - V what are the advantages and minuses?

Having information about the expected course of events can be useful for a person with active life position. To those who consciously build their destiny. Then he has more grounds for making decisions. If a person lives in a passive position, considering himself a toy in the hands of fate, then for him such knowledge more cons. Fear of realizing the worst opportunities and sadness about missing the best.

- How is forecasting different from predictions?

The future has many options, and forecasting takes this into account. When making an astrological forecast, an astrologer can show the client options for the development of events and tell them how they can influence the situation through their state or actions. For example, make the most of positive opportunities or minimize a problematic situation.

The predictor gives one version of the development of events. This is dangerous because a person begins to program himself to implement it.

- What can be predicted? What areas of life?

Everything can be predicted. And it’s not just astrology that does this. There are political, economic, meteorological forecasts, etc. Astrology is one of the tools. With its help, you can predict the development of everything that is manifested in our sublunary world. Various areas human and social life.

- Which is easier to do? - determine WHEN something will happen or WHAT EXACTLY will happen? (That there is the event itself or its time, as an example when I will I get married or leave am I get married at all)

For me, it’s easier to see the probability of an event in a map in general. To determine the time, more accurate calculations are needed.

- Are there events that a person cannot influence?

We all have freedom of choice and there are moments that are predetermined. They are the ones who form the basis of our destiny. This important events in life, where you need to make a decision, make a choice, determine a direction. How we go through these key points in our biography determines the quality of our life in the future. It is at these moments that karma is unleashed or, conversely, aggravated.

- A Can whether to predict exact dates necessary events?

If an event is really necessary, then it is better to plan it rather than predict it. And make an effort to make this happen. The stars only provide opportunities, but will not do anything for us.

But when planning the necessary events, electoral astrology can help. This is a branch of astrology that helps determine the day and time of an event. For example, when is it better to get married, open a company, or launch a project? In fact, the astrologer is precisely looking for the very day when such an event is astrologically most likely.

- Eat Are there any conditions for compliance with the forecast?

Of course have. For example, if the astrologer promised you in the coming year Good work, you need to at least send out your resume. If marriage - get to know each other and enter into a relationship. When lying on the sofa, only one prediction is most likely to come true - excess weight and dissatisfaction with oneself and life.

- Really change the course of events - do something about it avoidance of forecast?

It all depends on the astrological factors underlying the forecast. In some cases, it will help to go to another city on your birthday to adjust your annual card. Due to change geographical coordinates, the position of the planets in the houses of the map changes. This way you can avoid some troubles. There are days when it is better not to drive, not to drink alcohol, not to risk yourself and not to get into conflicts. But this applies to local, rapidly passing planetary influences.

We inevitably go through major difficult periods in life. This has developmental meaning for our soul. And here the main recipe for self-preservation is to engage in personal and spiritual development not only in moments of crisis, but also between them. Then there is a chance to meet and overcome the crisis with dignity. I have repeatedly seen how people make important breakthroughs during intense transits and how they completely mediocrely miss best opportunities, given by the stars.

- A Can it is possible to determine which events in human life will never happen?

Yes, there are cards that can be used to say with confidence that a person, for example, will never be rich or poor. That there will be no serious accidents in his life or that he will not be drawn to live in a foreign land.

- Ethical moment - Should the astrologer tell the client everything? Or are there things that are better not voice?

The astrologer tells the client exactly what the client asked. This is one of important points professional ethics.

- How can a person avoid programming himself after receiving a forecast?

The first, the most reliable way- do not ask for forecasts, knowing about your suggestibility and susceptibility. If you still decide to go to an astrologer, choose one who knows how to find correct and motivating formulations. If you hear from an astrologer something like, “Hmm, my dear, it will be difficult for you to get married with such a card,” leave immediately. And look for someone who will not pass judgment, but help find solutions.

- A few words about 2017.

Jupiter in Libra. good time for the beauty industry, fashion business. The beginning of the year may bring new creative and even shocking trends in these areas.

January is a great time for creativity and encounters with art. Visit a theater, an exhibition, a symphony concert, and get subtle aesthetic pleasure. January is good for charitable activities and spiritual practice.

February and early March can be an active and even conflicting time for many. The desire to assert oneself and win will intensify. competition. It is at this time that many new startups can appear.

The second half of March and most of April will be calmer than February. Direct your activity towards developing good material base, grounding and implementing the ideas that came to you in February. It is during this period that you need to be attentive to finances.

March-April may be unstable for many people in their personal lives. Romances that began during this period can be passionate and fleeting.

May and early June can bring both personal and business acquaintances and interesting adventures.

For many, June will be a month of communicating with families, meeting loved ones, and resolving everyday issues.

In the second half of July and August it is good to actively get acquainted and attend social and cultural events. Make a clear statement about yourself in society. During August, family and home issues are still relevant.

Business activity intensifies in September. There will be a desire to put things in order, “clean up the tails,” and devote more time to work.

From the end of September and into October, while maintaining previous indicators, the value of relationships will increase. You will want to reach the necessary agreements and resolve controversial issues with the greatest benefit for both parties.

November may exacerbate long-standing contradictions. Both in relationships and in inner life. A good time to deepen relationships and personal development.

At the end of November and beginning of December, be careful on the roads and be careful in icy conditions. This is a time of increased injury.

December, as usual, will bring New Year's anticipation and bustle. And a little more confusion than usual.

Once again, I would like to remind our readers that this is a very general forecast. If you want to correlate your plans for the year with the stars, it is better to contact a professional personally.

I like the article! 12

Forecast

predict development modality, forecasting

Verbal compatibility of non-objective names. - Institute of Russian Language named after. V. V. Vinogradov RAS, National Corpus of the Russian Language. Compiled by: O. L. Biryuk, V. Yu. Gusev, E. Yu. Kalinina. 2008 .

See what “predict” means in other dictionaries:

forecast- predict, foretell, portend, foretell, prophesy Dictionary of Russian synonyms. predict see predict 1 (predict 1) Dictionary of synonyms of the Russian language. Practical guide. M.: Russian language... Synonym dictionary

FORECAST- PREDICT, ruyu, ruesh; anna; Sovereign and imperfect., that. Set (pour) a forecast. P. economic processes. P. weather. | noun forecasting, i, cf. Scientific paragraph. Ozhegov's Explanatory Dictionary. S.I. Ozhegov, N.Yu. Shvedova. 1949 1992 … Ozhegov's Explanatory Dictionary

forecast- ruyu, ruet, nesov. and Sov., that (German prognosieren ... Dictionary foreign words Russian language

forecast- - [A.S. Goldberg. English-Russian energy dictionary. 2006] Energy topics in general EN forecast ... Technical Translator's Guide

forecast- predict, foretell, prophesy, prophesy, prophesy, predict Page. 0825 Page 0826 Page 0827 Page 0828 Page 0829 Page 0830… New explanatory dictionary of synonyms of the Russian language

Forecast- Nesov. trans. and uninterrupted. Make a forecast of something. Ephraim's explanatory dictionary. T. F. Efremova. 2000... Modern Dictionary Russian language Efremova

Forecast- Forecast (from the Greek πρόγνωσις foresight, prediction) prediction of the future using scientific methods or the result of the prediction itself. A forecast is a scientific model of a future event, phenomena, etc.). Forecasting, forecast development; in a narrow... ...Wikipedia

forecast- predict, predict, predict... Russian spelling dictionary

forecast- (I), forecast / rue, ruesh, rue... Spelling dictionary of the Russian language

forecast- Syn: predict, foretell (book), predict (high), prophesy (high) ... Thesaurus of Russian business vocabulary

Books

Learning to predict using Madame Lenormand's large deck. Complete practical guide, L. G. Nikiforova (Otila). Secret predictions of the Big Deck by Maria Lenormand is another work that will reveal the secrets of the symbolism depicted on the cards. An extraordinary journey will be accompanied by... Buy for 1181 UAH (Ukraine only)
Learning to predict on a large deck Madame Lenormand, Nikiforova L.G. (Otila). Secret predictions of the Big Deck by Maria Lenormand is another work that will reveal the secrets of the symbolism depicted on the cards. An extraordinary journey will be accompanied by…